The UEFA Football Earnings Rule: what replaced FFP, how the three-year test works and why Newcastle fell foul of it

UEFA's Financial Fair Play rules are gone. In their place sits a more sophisticated, more demanding framework: the Football Earnings Rule (“FER”), which assesses a club's financial sustainability across a rolling three-year period and permits aggregate losses of up to €60 million before triggering a significant breach. Newcastle United became the first English club to be sanctioned under the FER in the June 2026 enforcement cycle. This article explains what the rule requires, how it differs from FFP, and what clubs need to understand about managing their position across a three-year horizon.

This is the third article in our UEFA Financial Sustainability series. To view the whole series, click here.

From break-even to football earnings: what changed and why

UEFA's original Financial Fair Play framework, introduced for the 2011/12 season, required clubs to break even over a rolling assessment period -- revenue had to cover costs, with a limited amount of tolerated deficit permitted. The framework was widely criticised for entrenching the advantages of established wealthy clubs, for being manipulable through timing of revenues and costs, and for failing to adequately address the structural financial risks that brought clubs to insolvency.

The Club Licensing and Financial Sustainability Regulations 2025 replaced FFP with three integrated rules: the Football Earnings Rule, the Squad Cost Rule and the Club Equity Rule. The transition from break-even to football earnings represents a conceptual shift as much as a mechanical one. The old framework asked: does the club cover its costs? The new framework asks: are the club's football activities financially sustainable over a three-year horizon? The distinction matters. A club that is technically breaking even on total revenues and costs but generating that balance only through repeated asset sales -- selling players to fund ongoing losses, is not financially sustainable. The Football Earnings Rule is designed to capture that dynamic more accurately than FFP did.

How the Football Earnings Rule works: the three-year assessment

Under Article 22 of the UEFA Club Licensing and Financial Sustainability Regulations 2025, the Football Earnings Rule measures a club's football earnings -- broadly, its net financial result from football activities, across a rolling three-year assessment period. The assessment period is anchored to the financial years ending in the three calendar years preceding the monitoring assessment. For the June 2026 monitoring cycle, the relevant period was the three financial years ending in 2023, 2024 and 2025.

The key thresholds under the 2025 regulations are:

A club may sustain aggregate football earnings losses of up to €60 million over the three-year period without committing a significant breach. This represents the baseline tolerated deficit, below this threshold, the CFCB has no basis for enforcement action under the FER.

The threshold rises to €90 million for clubs that satisfy specific criteria indicating good financial health, principally, that the club has no overdue payables, has adequate equity and has demonstrated financial strength through owner backing or positive operating metrics. Clubs that qualify for the €90 million threshold have wider loss-absorbing capacity under the rule.

A club whose aggregate three-year football earnings fall below the applicable threshold commits a significant breach of the Football Earnings Rule. The CFCB then assesses whether to impose a financial penalty, a settlement agreement or both, taking into account the size of the deficit, the club's trajectory and any mitigating factors.

What 'football earnings' actually means: the calculation

The concept of football earnings is the analytical heart of the FER. Unlike the break-even calculation under FFP, which compared total revenues to total costs, football earnings is calculated by starting with the club's net result under standard accounting and then making a series of specified adjustments.

The football earnings calculation includes as revenues: match-day income; broadcasting distributions from domestic leagues and UEFA competitions; commercial and sponsorship revenues; UEFA prize money; and, critically, profits on player sales. The inclusion of player trading profits is the most operationally significant difference between the FER and the Squad Cost Rule. A club that generates a large profit on player sales in a given year benefits directly in its Football Earnings position: those profits count in the FER revenue line and reduce the aggregate deficit for that year. This is why a club's player trading strategy is directly linked to its FER compliance position, and why clubs with high squad costs can sometimes manage their FER position through active player trading even when their Squad Cost Ratio is elevated.

The football earnings calculation excludes from costs: infrastructure investment (spending on stadium development, training facilities and community programmes is excluded from the FER cost line, providing a specific incentive for long-term capital investment); and youth development expenditure up to a specified limit. These exclusions are deliberate policy choices, UEFA's intention is that clubs should not be deterred from sustainable long-term investment by the FER constraint.

FER SCR Dual Breach Callout

The Football Earnings Rule and the Squad Cost Rule measure different things. A club can be compliant on one and in breach of the other. Newcastle in June 2026 was the clearest example: in breach of both simultaneously, sanctioned under both.

Why Newcastle was in breach: the first English FER sanction

Newcastle United's position in the June 2026 CFCB monitoring cycle was distinct from that of the three other English clubs sanctioned. Aston Villa, Chelsea and Nottingham Forest all breached the Squad Cost Rule only. Newcastle breached both the Squad Cost Rule and the Football Earnings Rule, making it the only Premier League club and one of a small number of European clubs sanctioned under the FER in the first full enforcement cycle under the 2025 regulations.

The FER assessment for the June 2026 cycle covered the three financial years ending in 2023, 2024 and 2025. Newcastle's aggregate football earnings deficit over that period exceeded the applicable threshold. UEFA's published decision confirmed the breach and Newcastle's entry into a three-year settlement agreement, but did not disclose the specific size of the deficit. The settlement runs to the end of 2028/29 and carries annual intermediate targets.

Newcastle's situation is a direct consequence of the club's transformation since the consortium acquisition in October 2021. Significant investment in wages, player acquisitions and infrastructure, all concentrated in a short period, generated aggregate financial losses that, when assessed on the three-year rolling basis, exceeded the FER threshold. The club's public statement confirming the settlement described it as the result of working constructively with the CFCB to resolve the matter swiftly. It is worth noting that the FER breach relates to historical investment, not to forward-looking financial instability: the club is not in financial difficulty. But UEFA's framework assesses the three-year aggregate regardless of current financial health.

FER SCR Interaction Box

The FER and the SCR: how the two rules interact

Understanding how the Football Earnings Rule and the Squad Cost Rule interact is essential to managing UEFA compliance properly. The two rules are complementary but distinct, and a club can be in breach of one without breaching the other.

Player sale profits help the FER but do not directly reduce the SCR. A club that sells €150 million of players reduces its FER deficit but does not reduce the amortisation on those players’ replacements (which runs in the SCR numerator for the life of the new contracts). This asymmetry means clubs can improve their FER position through player trading while simultaneously worsening their SCR position through acquisitions.

Conversely, the football-earnings surplus offset in the SCR framework does allow a strong FER position to mitigate an SCR breach. The Bologna and Napoli precedent from June 2026 -- both clubs avoided sanctions despite squad cost ratios nominally above 70% because their football-earnings surpluses fully offset the excess -- illustrates how the two rules are designed to work together.

The three-year horizon: planning implications for clubs

The shift from FFP's variable-period break-even assessment to the FER's fixed three-year rolling assessment has a fundamental implication for how clubs should approach financial planning. Under FFP, the assessment window moved with the club's financial years. Under the FER, the assessment is fixed: every monitoring cycle assesses the three most recent financial years ending before the review date. There is no flexibility about which three years are included.

This creates a specific planning challenge for clubs that have made large investments in a short period. Newcastle's position, where three years of post-acquisition investment were assessed together in the first full FER cycle, illustrates the issue. A club that spends heavily in years one and two of a new ownership period will carry the financial impact of that spending through the FER assessment for up to three years after the investment was made. The deficit does not reset when new money arrives; it persists in the rolling window until the financial year generating the largest losses drops out of the three-year period.

For clubs with settlement agreements, Newcastle and Juventus from the June 2026 cycle, the three-year horizon becomes a structured compliance programme. The intermediate targets set within the settlement are calibrated to the FER trajectory: each year, the CFCB will assess whether the club's improving financial position is consistent with meeting the aggregate target by the end of the settlement period. Missing those targets does not simply result in a larger fine. Under the settlement framework, persistent non-compliance can escalate to competition exclusion.

For a detailed explanation of what settlement agreements require and how the escalating consequences work, see Article 4 in this series on the CFCB settlement framework. For the companion piece explaining how the Squad Cost Rule and the FER interact in transfer window planning, see Article 7 on agent fees, amortisation and the transfer window.

What clubs need to build: three-year financial modelling

The practical implication of the FER's three-year assessment horizon is straightforward but demanding: clubs need a genuine three-year financial model, not an annual budget, to manage their UEFA compliance position. A club that knows its budget for the current financial year but has not modelled the aggregate football earnings position for the three-year window ending in the next monitoring cycle is operating without the information it needs to manage its FER compliance.

The key components of a UEFA-compliant three-year financial model include: projected football earnings for each of the three assessment years, including player trading assumptions; projected squad cost ratios for each calendar year, incorporating planned transfer and wage activity; the relationship between player trading strategy and FER position; modelled scenarios for the summer transfer window showing the compliance impact of different levels of activity; and stress-tested projections that account for the possibility that revenue projections, particularly UEFA competition distributions, are not achieved.

For the June 2026 enforcement cycle, the assessment period covered 2023, 2024 and 2025. For the June 2027 cycle, the period will cover 2024, 2025 and 2026. Every financial decision made in 2026 -- every contract signed, every player sold or purchased, every cost committed -- affects the 2027 assessment. Clubs that are not modelling forward are not managing their FER position; they are discovering it after the fact.

Board FER Questions Box

The four questions a board should be able to answer on the Football Earnings Rule

1
What is our aggregate football earnings position for the three financial years ending in our most recent year-end, including player trading profits and infrastructure exclusions?
2
Does that aggregate position fall within the applicable €60 million or €90 million threshold -- and if it approaches the threshold, what is the margin?
3
What is the projected aggregate position for the three-year period ending in 2026, incorporating current-year actuals and forward projections?
4
If we are under a settlement agreement, what are the annual intermediate targets for improving our football earnings position, and are we on track to meet them?
UEFA CL&FS Regulations 2025, Article 22 | Lagom Sports Compliance commentary

For an overview of how the Football Earnings Rule fits within the full UEFA Club Licensing and Financial Sustainability Regulations 2025, including the Squad Cost Rule and ownership integrity obligations, see the Lagom Sports Compliance guide to the 2025 regulations. To read the full account of the June 2026 enforcement round, see Article 1 in this series.

Speak to Lagom Sports Compliance today to understand how your club will be impacted by the Football Earnings Rule as well as other regulations.

Frequently asked questions: the UEFA Football Earnings Rule

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The UEFA CFCB settlement agreement: what it is, what it commits you to and why it is not a get-out

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The UEFA Squad Cost Rule explained: what the 70% cap means, how it is calculated and why clubs breach it